Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 1.477036 1.682060 1.905191 2.166067 2.462749 2.789713 3.177486
2025-11-23 1.162841 1.442103 1.772518 2.192356 2.711888 3.334127 4.136760
2025-11-30 0.972431 1.279330 1.664077 2.181989 2.861524 3.723719 4.902636
2025-12-07 0.827238 1.142288 1.556432 2.140932 2.945547 4.015891 5.551145
2025-12-14 0.712049 1.025402 1.454610 2.085770 2.991591 4.247064 6.124274
2025-12-21 0.629789 0.941709 1.384987 2.061280 3.068806 4.517574 6.766050
2025-12-28 0.591345 0.915184 1.391172 2.142250 3.300091 5.022010 7.787176
2026-01-04 0.532811 0.851273 1.334177 2.120302 3.371114 5.290174 8.470848
2026-01-11 0.500708 0.824196 1.329247 2.175797 3.563260 5.755029 9.496874
2026-01-18 0.461529 0.781355 1.294610 2.178931 3.669355 6.089450 10.338110
2026-01-25 0.420834 0.731699 1.243755 2.149355 3.716622 6.328787 11.037796
2026-02-01 0.384930 0.686494 1.195734 2.119073 3.757936 6.558273 11.735779
2026-02-08 0.357193 0.655822 1.174655 2.142602 3.911064 7.020186 12.937488
2026-02-15 0.331919 0.627515 1.155993 2.170654 4.079249 7.532392 14.298942
2026-02-22 0.304223 0.591424 1.119093 2.160321 4.174037 7.918397 15.462590
2026-03-01 0.275837 0.550771 1.069289 2.119674 4.205918 8.188221 16.428841
2026-03-08 0.249075 0.510293 1.015488 2.065061 4.203789 8.390595 17.279821
2026-03-15 0.228742 0.480420 0.979128 2.040815 4.258426 8.706756 18.388586
2026-03-22 0.221394 0.476328 0.993533 2.120980 4.533191 9.487693 20.534235
2026-03-29 0.204564 0.450484 0.960884 2.099249 4.592000 9.830289 21.784803
2026-04-05 0.196336 0.442266 0.964109 2.154192 4.819694 10.546938 23.916979
2026-04-12 0.184255 0.424277 0.944645 2.157295 4.933548 11.028960 25.575306
2026-04-19 0.170625 0.401383 0.912235 2.128013 4.971443 11.346897 26.891183